Akron (@8.0) vs Illinois (@1.08)
21-08-2019

Our Prediction:

Illinois will win

Akron – Illinois Match Prediction | 21-08-2019

The total for this game is extremely low. However, two of those totals were set at 64 points. You can have special teams break big plays or make big mistakes. I will trust that the over will hit here. While these two are capable of hitting that, its hard for me to be comfortable expecting a college game to go below 40 points. Northern Illinois has won four straight in this series and the two have hit the under in three of their last four meetings. A lot can go wrong for a defense in a game. NIU has still put up at least 24 points in every MAC game and Akron has given up at least 23 in three of its four conference games.

Who will prevail in this pickem contest? Both teams have identical 9-6 records and are very close in the MAC standings. An interesting match up takes place this Saturday in the Mid-American Conference as Akron travels to Northern Illinois. Northern Illinois is 2-0 in the conference while Akron is 1-1. Akron is coming off a loss while Northern Illinois has won twice on the road.

Northern Illinois had just 204 total yards and 11 first downs, as the defense really won them that game. BYU had almost 10 more minutes of possession, yet could only manage two field goals. The Huskies come into this one off a 7-6 upset win at BYU, as a 7-point underdog. It was the Huskies fourth straight win since that ugly loss at Florida State.

History is also on Northern Illinois side in this one. The Huskies are 19-4 ATS in their last 23 off an upset win as an underdog, 21-8 in their last 39 road games during weeks 10 through 13 and a perfect 6-0 over the last 3 years on the road after a cover. As for Akron, they are a miserable 5-13 ATS as a home dog under current head coach Terry Bowden and have lost as a home dog by an average final score of 36 to 19. Give me the Huskies -6.5!

Comments

Northern Illinois (5-3) likely has its most talented team in recent memory, but the Huskies also have benefited from some good fortune. The computer knows Northern Illinois can't afford a letdown as it attempts to keep control of the West Division.

The Zips have an offensive rating of 104.9, which is ranked 153rd. As a unit they are 243rd in college basketball in true shooting percentage with 53% and they shoot 3-pointers on 50% of their shot attempts, ranking 9th in the country. They are 293rd in D-1 in pace with 67.5 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 50% is 240th. Akron is 311th in the country in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 14.4 times per 100 possessions.

On offense, NIU is putting up 17.1 points and 284.3 yards per contest. Marcus Childers has thrown for just 1,064 yards and eight touchdowns with five interceptions. The Huskies are allowing just 21.1 points and 344.5 yards per contest. He also has run for 261 yards and three scores. Tre Harbison is the leading rusher with 496 yards and three touchdowns. NIU hasnt had much offense this year, but its defense has been stellar.

Daniel Utomi scores 14.1 points per contest while playing 33.5 minutes per game. His field goal percentage is 52% and his free throw percentage is 76%. He hauls in 5.9 rebounds per contest and has 1.4 assists per game on the season. He also hauls in 6.5 rebounds per game and dishes 3.5 assists per contest. Jimond Ivey averages 13.7 points per game and he sees the court an average of 33.2 minutes per game. His FG percentage is 39% and his free throw percentage is at 62%.

Northern Illinois is 207th in turnovers, as they turn the ball over an average of 16 times per 100 possessions. The Huskies have an offensive rating of 110.9, which is ranked 50th. They are 232nd in college basketball in pace with 69 possessions per 40 minutes, and their eFG% of 56% is 21st. As a unit they are 36th in the nation in true shooting percentage with 58% and they shoot 3-pointers on 32% of their shot attempts, ranking 316th in D-1.

Northern Illinois Huskies

They shoot 32% from beyond the arc, which is good for 300th in the country. Akron is 234th in the country with 71.3 points per contest this season. The Zips give up 62.7 points per game, which ranks them 16th in the nation. Their defense surrenders a 41% shooting percentage and a 32% average from behind the 3-point line, ranking them 50th and 66th in those defensive statistics. They are 294th in D-1 in shooting at 42%, while their average scoring margin is 8.6. They rank 26th with 10.5 dimes allowed per game and 300th with 37.7 boards surrendered per contest. They are 135th in the nation in rebounding with 36.5 boards per contest and 255th in assists per game with 12.5. The Zips are 318th in turnovers per contest with 11.4. The Zips are 202nd in Division 1 in forcing turnovers with 14.0 per contest.

They force 12.5 turnovers per game which ranks them 91st in Division 1. From 3-point territory they shoot 37%, which is good for 59th in the nation. They average 35.8 boards per contest and 12.7 assists per game, which ranks them 173rd and 240th in those offensive categories. Their average scoring margin is 5.5 and their shooting percentage is 50% as a unit, which has them ranked 9th. In the turnover department they are 227th with 12.8 per game. Opponents average 31.1 rebounds a game which ranks 24th, and they allow 14.7 assists per game which puts them in 285th place in D-1. They also surrender a 44% shooting percentage and a 36% average from 3-point range, ranking them 183rd and 264th in defensive field goal percentage. The Huskies allow 72.5 points per contest which is 208th in the country. Northern Illinois averages 77.9 points per contest, which is 74th in the NCAA.