Galbally (@1.5) vs Pomeroy (@2.88)
06-10-2019

Our Prediction:

Galbally will win

Galbally – Pomeroy Match Prediction | 06-10-2019 11:00

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While tables of numbers have their place, no fan should have to scroll to see their teams rating. Not only do you not have to scroll (on some devices) to see the entirety of D-I, but you dont have to click through to different pages to get some quick insights on teams and conferences. For that reason, I have been spending the past few weeks building a handy visualization called D-I Universe. Its probably a little different than anything you have seen before, but I think its the best way to visualize my ratings and other stats.

On kenpom.com: "The first thing you should know about this system is that it is designed to be purely predictive. Admittedly, kenpom is the leader in college basketball metrics. If youre looking for a system that rates teams on how 'good' their season has been, youve come to the wrong place." I recently tried to express interest in how well kenpom ... It is not, however, the end-all-be-all.

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With Purdue and Auburn in the Elite Eight, theres a lot of talk about how far theyve come from the depths of their season. But those depths are fabrications of the AP poll. To illustrate lets look at each of the teams in the Elite Eight by their worst ranking in the AP poll since 12/31 and compare that to the worst ranking in my system on the same days that the AP poll was released.

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This is a college sports tradition. In this case, the most common defense seems to be that Henry himself didnt object to the treatment, therefore criticism should be off limits. It was not surprising to see coaches and ex-players universally defendTom Izzos treatment of freshman wing Aaron Henry last week, nor was it surprising to see most of college basketballs non-coach/player media either stay silent or support Izzo.

Me, Id prefer to use the crowd that bets money on things. Anyone can make predictions but history shows the best ones are made by people that put something tangible on the line. There are a few ways to analyze something but using the wisdom of the crowd is one my favorites. Of course, it depends on the particular crowd.

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(The other meetings need not be after the overtime game but nonetheless will be referred to as rematches for simplicity.) The correlation between scoring margin in the overtime game and scoring margin in the rematch (adjusted for home court) is 0.16. The simplest way to demonstrate this is to look at all overtime games where the teams met again during the season.