Justin Gaethje (@1.53) vs Donald Cerrone (@2.5)

Our Prediction:

Justin Gaethje will win

Justin Gaethje – Donald Cerrone Match Prediction | 15-09-2019 01:00

Hes probably not going to find success in the pocket against someone who can counterpunch his blitzes, and Gaethje probably outkicks him (Cerrone isnt great at kicking on the backfoot, and Gaethje outkicked Barboza before the finish). Cerrone isnt likely to have success with the knee against a fighter who can pressure effectively (instead of just trying to run forward to swarm), and he doesnt have the footwork on the outside to alleviate Gaethjes pressure.

In the matter of strikes, Cerrone is 27th out of all fighters in the UFC and 8th out of all the athletes in the division with 1,278. He has earned a total of 30 fights in the UFC. Entering the cage for this fight, Donald "Cowboy" Cerrone has a total of 36 wins and 12 losses. The USA fighter competes in the lightweight division and has a 73.0" reach. Donald Cerrone took a loss by unanimous decision when he faced Tony Ferguson in his most recent fight at UFC 238 - Chicago 2019. The 36-year-old fighting out of Albuquerque, NM measures 6'1" tall and steps on the scale at 155 lbs.

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The wounds from that bloody battle have barely had time to heal, and while his willingness to fight anyone, anywhere, has seen Cerrone write himself into UFC folklore, Cowboys camp has to be concerned that hes not at 100% this weekend. Cerrone is also an accomplished wrestler, and the older man may have to take this fight to the canvas to get the win he needs. Cowboy has struggled against opponents in the past whove applied serious pressure, not least in his last bout against Ferguson.

This will be Cerrones fifth career fight in Canada. Cerrone is a versatile fighter who is a well decorated kick boxer, has a deep background in Muay Thai and is comfortable on the canvas to the point he has 17 career submission victories. A total of 27 of Cerrones 36 victories have come by some sort of stoppage. Cerrone obviously isnt wasting any time stepping back in the octagon, as this will be his fourth fight of the year and hes earned performance bonuses in each of his last four fights. Donald Cerrone enters this fight with a 36-12 record and has won 47 percent of his fights by submission. A polished wrestler who almost always has the edge on the canvas, Cerrone closes range well with those leg kicks and usually gets the fight where he wants it. Cerrone has split his last 10 fights and is coming off a June loss to Tony Ferguson. Cerrone is averaging 1.29 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 35 percent. Cerrone is coming off a second round knockout loss that was forced to be stopped after he blew his nose and his eye swelled shut. Cerrone ate 104 significant strikes in the bout and was running out of answers well before the fight was stopped. A tough fighter who clearly isnt backing down from the competition, Cerrones work rate and willingness to take on whomever is why hes popular with fans. Cerrone is averaging 4.2 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy percentage of 48 percent.

We just havent seen much of it yet in the UFC. The 30-year-old Arizona native displayed his fearsome punching power in those two bouts, as well as his strong fight IQ and tactics. Gaethje has bounced back from those losses to Eddie Alvarez and Dustin Poirier with two KO victories over James Vick and Edson Barboza. Gaethje is an aggressive fighter who walks down his opponents, but he also has an excellent ground game thanks to his college wresting background. A successful night in British Columbia would continue his recovery and leave the Highlight on the cusp of a title shot.

The Cowboy

We could be set for a bit of a slugfest before a brutal KO to end the show at Fight Night 158. However, that wont help Cowboy against Justin Gaethje this weekend, with the 30-year-old looking to get back to the top of the lightweight rankings. Donald Cerrone is adored by UFC fans around the world, and there are lots of fighters in combat sports who should take a leaf out of his book when it comes to their schedule and willingness to take on all comers. The Highlight will apply serious pressure as he walks down Cerrone, unafraid to take punishment on his way in.

A likely inhabitant of that spot is the winner in Vancouver on September 14, between top-5 contenders Justin Gaethje and Donald Cerrone; on one side, a fighter who seemed to find a ceiling on his extraordinarily violent style early in his UFC tenure only to shatter it and remain in the top 5 anyway, and on the other, one whos maintained absurd staying-power as a borderline-elite presence despite sustaining one-sided losses from time-to-time that would spell the end of that status for anyone else.

Gaethje, set for Saturday, September 14th in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. The main card streams live on ESPN+ at 8 PM ET/5 PM PT, with prelims also on ESPN+ at 5 PM ET/2 PM PT. The main event is a five-round lightweight bout between highly entertaining contenders Justin Gaethje and Donald Cerrone. Check out Bloody Elbows pre-fight, fight night, and post-fight coverage for UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs.

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In regard to experience in the UFC, Gaethje has 4 fights which means he has less UFC experience, while Cerrone has compiled a total of 30 fights in the Octagon. In relation to reach, Gaethje measures 70.0" while Cerrone measures out at 73.0" meaning Gaethje is going to want to close the space so Donald Cerrone won't be able to use it to his advantage. Gaethje is the younger combatant in this fight at 30 years old while Cerrone is the older combatant in this fight at 36 years old. Justin Gaethje has the better eye for striking, landing 54.7% of his strikes which means Donald Cerrone will look to be on the watch for big shots. When it comes to overall mixed martial arts experience, Gaethje has 20 wins and 2 losses while Donald Cerrone is the owner of an overall fight record of 36 wins and 12 losses. When looking at this fight with Justin Gaethje and Donald Cerrone, you will want to know how these two fighters stack up to one another. In relation to physical attributes, let us start by taking a look at Justin Gaethje who is 5'11", while the opponent on the other side of the cage is 6'1".