Portsmouth (@1.8) vs Burton (@4.33)

Our Prediction:

Portsmouth will win

Portsmouth – Burton Match Prediction | 17-09-2019 14:45

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For the same reason, Over 3.5 Goals may also be worth a dabble. There really has been no shortage of both chances and goals at both ends of the pitch when Burton and Pompey have been involved in recent weeks. The pair have averaged a combined 4.23 expected goals for in their last five, so goals really are easy to fancy ahead of Fridays clash.

The Brewers come into this fixture unbeaten in five, four of which theyve won. Theyve also lost just three of their last 16 League One matches. Burton are another of the sides whose fans will be left thinking if only we couldve got going sooner. Nigel Cloughs men have threatened to do well all season long and were now seeing that theyre a very capable side at this level.

Portsmouth vs Burton Albion Odds

After all, Kenny Jacketts men have the quality to make light work of scoring goals against defensively open teams at home, as both Oxford and Plymouth found out. Burton arent the weakest team in the division, far from it, but theyve got a dodgy back-line, especially on their travels, so its easy to see Pompey taking advantage.

Given the fact that the Brewers, whove scored an average of 3.2 goals in their last five, and Pompey, whove notched an average of 2.8 in their last five, have both excelled going forward of late, a relatively high-scoring game may just be a tad more likely than the current price suggests. In summary, its fair to say that both Burton and Portsmouth have been thriving in the final third of late, while both have shown a few defensive weaknesses. Keeping this in mind, Over 2.5 Goals stands out.

As well as their rather poor defensive efforts against Plymouth on Saturday, Burton have found it tough to keep things tight on their travels this season. Tuesdays visitors have conceded at least once in each of their six away games, while theyre conceding an average of two goals per match and an average of 2.05 expected goals, so its tough to say that theyve not deserved to concede a rather worrying total of twelve goals on the road.

Cards & Corners

Fridays hosts are a team in form, though Portsmouth, who tore Rochdale to pieces last Saturday, will fancy themselves do well at Pirelli Stadium. Theyve also posted recent expected goals for figures such as 3.43, 2.18 and 1.99. Kenny Jacketts visitors have looked like a very dangerous side of late, as theyve won each of their last five, scoring an impressive 14 goals in the process.

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